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Showing posts with label mathematics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label mathematics. Show all posts

Saturday, February 22, 2014

A Math Dream That Was Not a Nightmare


Why would my dream life be invaded by a geometry problem? The setup was a line segment, and the question that invaded my dream life was, how many lines could intersect that line segment? At first I imagined the intersecting lines to be all perpendicular and parallel, and my dream thinking was that the number of possible intersecting lines could not be infinite because (1) the original line was only a line segment, and so not itself infinite; and (2) while lines have no breadth or thickness, it seemed to me (but this could be only commonsense thinking, which doesn’t always translate to mathematics) that there would have to be space between the lines or they would simply fill in -- ??? But they would not turn the group of lines into a solid, because there would still be no thickness, or depth.... Does plane geometry care at all if a surface is blank or filled in, or (and if I had to bet, I’d put my money on this second disjunct) does it only care about lines and points?

Ah, but points have no length, breadth, or thickness! A point is not an object but a location. So even the line segment could have, it seems, an infinite number of intersecting, parallel, perpendicular lines. Do you buy it?

Next (still in my dream) I started wondering about intersecting oblique lines. (What would be the smallest conceivable angle? Would there be such a thing?) Would this generate a larger infinity of intersecting lines? Can infinity come in different sizes, bigger and smaller, or is infinity just always that -- infinity?

Finally, dragging myself out of the dream and into wakeful consciousness, I searched around for a way to ask the question that my geometry dream had posed, and here's what I came up with: What is the maximum number of lines that can intersect any given line segment?

Here’s a question and answer I found online that has bearing on my dream, but before following the link you might enjoy thinking about the question yourself. I mean, there's no exam involved here, not even a pop quiz.


Tuesday, September 4, 2012

Predicting Election Results


Please, someone tell me what is wrong with my nonexpert analysis of predictions of election results based on probability:

Probability cannot foretell the outcome of a specific event—say, any particular flip of a coin—but can only be assigned in percentages to a range of possibilities. Weather is more predictable than coin flips, human actions more complicated than horse races, but for any prediction on a specific event’s outcome based on probability, no outcome will or can show the prediction to have been "wrong." The person having made the prediction need not even acknowledge having left out relevant factors. Picture the careless shrug and casual statement to the effect that a “less likely outcome” prevailed. What I’m saying is that anyone can criticize a prediction for not taking everything relevant into account but that no one can ever say, regardless of outcome, that the prediction was “wrong.” 

Am I right that such a prediction cannot be wrong? If so, tell me again why we should give a rip what anyone predicts? If not, please explain.